multirotor-recovery-dynamics

A preregistered release-to-recovery study whose placeholder authority fails and whose measured mixer gate will decide the build.

Bare micro quadrotor frame with four coreless motors and propeller guards
Illustrative photo, not project hardware: A bare micro quadrotor with coreless motors and guards, the airframe class this study models. Photo by Armenak Margarian, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

Result. Exposed a 4% recovery rate under placeholder torque, then predicted 300/300 recoveries with a 60 mm mixer model; a six-motor bench test now decides the build.

The guarded micro-UAV concept is developed through staged gates rather than a one-off flight video. The decisive next artifact is measured differential authority at 7.0 V, followed by a fixed 1,000-trial recovery evaluation.

CategoryRobotics Hardware
TimelineJun. 2026 - Present
StatusIn Progress
EvidenceMonte Carlo prediction; bench test pending
RoleRequirements, component selection, dynamics/control simulation, robustness audit, bench protocol, and safety gating
ToolsPython, ArduPilot, AM32, CAD
LinksRepositoryMeasured Gate

problem

My contribution. Built the 6-DoF recovery model, imperfection sweep, mixer-authority model, exact confidence-bound gate, component/resource map, and propulsion-bench safety protocol.

A small quad may recover in one nominal simulation while failing across CG error, motor mismatch, latency, noise, and battery sag. The project needs a measurement that decides whether the physical authority premise is viable before more hardware spending.

constraints

  • Sub-250 g guarded vehicle and 3.0 m recovery-height budget.
  • Measure all six motors at 8.4, 7.6, and 7.0 V.
  • Fifth-percentile authority must reach 0.020 N·m throughout 25–75% collective.
  • Wave 2 remains blocked until the fixed statistical and safety gates pass.

design evolution

Iterations, issues, and fixes, recorded in the order they happened.

RevisionFailure modeDesign changeResult
Nominal recoveryA single 60°, 2 rad/s run recovered and could be mistaken for robustness.Added CG, mass, inertia, motor, latency, noise, and sag dispersions.The as-toleranced placeholder case recovered only 4% at 2 rad/s.
Mixer predictionThe independent 0.004 N·m torque clip ignored real differential mixer headroom.Modeled collective-dependent four-motor authority and attitude-priority desaturation.The assumed 60 mm mixer recovered all 300 original trials.
Measured decision“Adequate authority” and “sufficient trials” were soft gates.Frozen 0.020 N·m and 962/1,000 exact-confidence thresholds plus a LiPo bench checklist.Wave-2 spending is mechanically tied to measured evidence.

results

4%
Placeholder recovery
300/300
Mixer prediction
0.020 N·m
Authority gate
1,000
Primary trials
962
Required successes
Pending
Measured result

The authority gate uses all six motors, five collective points, and the empirical fifth percentile at 7.0 V.

If authority passes, the fixed 2 rad/s case must achieve at least 962/1,000 recoveries, exact one-sided 95% lower bound ≥0.95, and maximum descent ≤3.0 m.

Scope note. No hardware, propulsion, tethered recovery, or flight result is claimed yet. The 300/300 mixer result uses assumed arm and datasheet thrust.

lessons

  • A robustness failure can identify the one measurement that matters most.
  • Static thrust times arm validates authority, not dynamic recovery by itself.
  • Safety and spending gates belong in the experiment design before hardware arrives.

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